The Tennessee Volunteers easily dispatched one of the Cinderella stories from a couple of years ago in Saint Peter’s. They will now brace for a much tougher test against a scrappy Texas Longhorns team.
Texas impressed against Colorado State in a game that was anticipated to be tricky for the Big 12 side, but can it pick things up offensively here to pull off the upset?
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Tennessee vs. Texas Betting Promos
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It seems the perfect way to bet on the Longhorns to pull the upset over one of the tournament favorites, but a wiser move with such a large stake could be to take Texas to cover the 6.5 points. Should the Longhorns do that, you’ll have almost $2,000 in your account, and if not, you’ll get that $1,000 back in the form of a betting bonus. You could also more than double your initial stake on a $5 bet on a parlay of Texas +6.5 and the Under, knowing you’ll have a $150 bonus regardless of the final score.https://tgd-next-cta-tgd-next-devs.vercel.app/170468
Tennessee vs. Texas Odds
Tennessee-Texas lines are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook and are current as of Friday at 3 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Tennessee (-270) • Texas (+220)
- Spread: Tennessee -6.5 (-112) • Texas +6.5 (-108)
- Total Points: Over 146.5 (-108) • Under 146.5 (-111)
This line feels like one that would have been posted as a look-ahead prior to the tournament, with the Longhorns looking strong defensively in a lopsided win over Colorado State. That said, the Rams were dreadful on offense and entered without the ability to really shoot the 3, so perhaps oddsmakers are looking past the result.
The total is around where you’d expect given how well both of these teams can perform on offense, but bear in mind these are still two teams that have done a lot of solid work defensively over the last few weeks – particularly the Vols who are ranked third in efficiency on that end.
Tennessee 66, Texas 63
I expect this game to come in comfortably under the total being set, and I anticipate a slower game here, given my lean towards Texas. If you believe this is a game where the Volunteers are theoretically going to control the proceedings, you’d then have to expect a bunch of possessions here as the Longhorns attempt to play catch-up.
I believe that this Texas defense is every bit as good as the one it will see on the other end of the floor, and I think the strength of schedule here is part of the reason why its numbers don’t look quite the same.
Yes, the Vols have had arguably the toughest calendar in the nation, but that’s mainly worth noting on the defensive end. The Longhorns can trap and force turnovers and throw Tennessee off its game.
Tennessee vs. Texas Best Bet
Texas +6.5 (-108)
FanDuel Sportsbook • 1 Unit
Words can not describe how valuable Max Abmas is in March. The veteran guard took Oral Roberts to the Sweet 16 years ago and has blossomed into a bonafide star in one of the most competitive conferences in basketball this season.
Abmas poured in 26 when the lights became bright in what was ultimately a losing effort in Texas’ opening round game of the Big 12 tournament, and despite a tough shooting night against a scrappy Colorado State defense, he still managed to play excellent defense around the perimeter to lift the Longhorns to victory despite never being known for his ability too much on that end.
I’m a big believer in betting on experienced, impactful talents in this tournament every year and will do so again in this matchup. I think Abmas will outshine NBA prospect Dalton Knecht in this one, a guy who has cooled off from 3 over his last five games by shooting 36%.
Texas’ ability to switch around the perimeter as a team that prides itself on defense should help ease the load on Abmas’ shoulders, and the ability to throw a stopper in Tyrese Hunter on Knecht should pay major dividends.
Texas’ struggles against the 3 this season are certainly a concern, but for a second straight game, it will encounter a team that has been quite pedestrian from deep and has opted to do the bulk of its work inside and win on defense. The Longhorns match up well here with the strength of their defense lying inside, and all things appear relatively even in the rebounding department and in the turnover battle, with Texas holding a key edge in effective field goal percentage.
Look for Texas to cover here in a matchup, which should be close and dictated by defense.
