Bucks vs. Pistons prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NBA picks, Jan. 22 best bets by proven model

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The Detroit Pistons aim to enact revenge against the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday evening. The Pistons are 0-3 against the Bucks this season, including a home loss on Saturday. Detroit is 4-38 overall and 2-19 at home this season, while Milwaukee is 29-13 overall and 10-9 in road games. Cade Cunningham (knee) and Monte Morris (quadriceps) are listed as doubtful for Detroit, with Isaiah Stewart (ankle) listed as questionable. Giannis Antetokounmpo (shoulder) is listed as probable for Milwaukee.

For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Bucks as 12.5-point favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 247.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Pistons odds. Before making any Pistons vs. Bucks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 48-25 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Pistons and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pistons vs. Bucks:

  • Bucks vs. Pistons spread: Bucks -12.5
  • Bucks vs. Pistons over/under: 247.5  points
  • Bucks vs. Pistons money line: Bucks -789, Pistons +546
  • MIL: The Bucks are 8-11 against the spread in road games
  • DET: The Pistons are 8-12-1 against the spread in home games
  • Bucks vs. Pistons picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee’s offense is difficult to stop, as evidenced by Saturday’s win over Detroit. The Bucks put up 141 points, including 1.29 points per possession, in that victory. Milwaukee shot 55% from the field in the game, producing 49 free throw attempts to go along with 30 assists and only 10 turnovers. For the season, the Bucks are scoring more than 1.27 points per possession against Detroit across three games, including a sparkling 65.1% true shooting mark in those matchups.

Beyond the head-to-head success, Milwaukee’s offensive numbers are gaudy on a full-season basis, including a top three mark in the NBA with 120.7 points scored per 100 possessions. The Bucks average more than 26 free throw attempts per game, a top-three mark, and Milwaukee’s shooting efficiency is tremendous. The Bucks are shooting 50% from the field, including 58.7% on 2-pointers and 38% on 3-pointers, and Milwaukee is making 14.3 3-pointers per game. Milwaukee also commits a giveaway on only 12.7% of offensive possessions, and against a vulnerable Pistons defense that yields more than 1.2 points per possession, Milwaukee should be able to find success. See which team to pick here.

Why the Pistons can cover

Detroit veteran Alec Burks is on an impressive run in January. He produced 33 points, seven rebounds, and six assists against Milwaukee on Saturday, and Burks is averaging 20.8 points per game on 49.4% 3-point shooting this month. The Pistons are also trending upward on offense, scoring 1.24 points per possession with 62.3% true shooting in the last three games. Detroit shares the ball well, averaging 26.5 assists per game, and the Pistons are facing a vulnerable Milwaukee defense. 

The Bucks are last in the NBA in forcing turnovers, averaging 11.7 takeaways per game, and Milwaukee is in the bottom three of the league with only 6.5 steals per contest. Milwaukee also ranks in the bottom tier of the NBA in second-chance points allowed (14.5 per game), fast break points allowed (15.1 per game), and points allowed in the paint (54.0 per game). On defense, the Pistons also close possessions well, securing 72.0% of available defensive rebounds after forcing a missed shot. See which team to pick here.

How to make Pistons vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 239 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Pistons, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 48-25 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.  

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