Eagles vs. Commanders prediction, odds, spread, line, time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 4 best bets from proven model

Longtime NFC East rivals are set to square off in NFL Week 4 when the Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) host the Washington Commanders (2-1) on Sunday. The defending NFC champion Eagles are coming off a 25-11 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday Night Football, while the Commanders are aiming to rebound from a 37-3 blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 3. Washington leads the all-time series 89-82-5, but the Eagles have won three of the last four meetings.

Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at Lincoln Financial Field. Philadelphia is favored by 9 points in the latest Commanders vs. Eagles odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 43. Before making any Eagles vs. Commanders picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 167-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on an 21-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Eagles vs. Commanders and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 4 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. Eagles:

  • Eagles vs. Commanders spread: Eagles -9
  • Eagles vs. Commanders over/under: 43 points
  • Eagles vs. Commanders money line: Eagles -433, Commanders +334
  • Eagles vs. Commanders picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Eagles vs. Commanders live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Eagles can cover

The Eagles are the defending NFC champions and look like a team that will be in the championship conversation again in 2023. Quarterback Jalen Hurts picked up where he left off last season, and has been highly effective in Philadelphia’s three wins this season. The former Alabama and Oklahoma standout has completed 67.7% of his passes for 640 yards, three touchdowns, and three interception. He’s also rushed for 100 yards and three touchdowns.

The Eagles have also been elite on the defensive side of the ball. Through three weeks, Philadelphia ranks first in the NFL, allowing only 48.3 rushing yards per game. They also rank 10th in the NFL in points allowed per game (19.7) and 12th in total yards allowed per game (310). See which team to pick here.

Why the Commanders can cover

Washington is a young team with talent at several key positions. Wide receiver Terry McLaurin is coming off a Pro Bowl season, and remains one of the top pass catchers in the NFL. Second year running back Brian Robinson Jr. is averaging 4.6 yards per carry and has the look of another Pro Bowl caliber player for Washington on the offensive side.

The Commanders biggest strength is their defensive line, where they have former first round picks starting at all four positions. Chase Young, Montez Sweat, Jonathan Allen, and Daron Payne are all high-end, Pro Bowl level talents that could be impactful enough to keep this game close. See which team to pick here.

How to make Commanders vs. Eagles picks

The model has simulated Eagles vs. Commanders 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the model’s Eagles vs. Commanders pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Eagles vs. Commanders on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Eagles spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 167-117 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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