Each week, NFL fantasy researcher Joel Smyth will identify important stats and trends to inform fantasy decisions ahead of your next matchup. These won’t be your basic, elementary stats, but rather deep and unique insights to give you an edge over your friends (and enemies).
Here are eight notable nuggets ahead of Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season.The California kid is surely thankful his Detroit home comes with a dome. In Jared Goff’s career, he has played 22 games outside in the winter cold, averaging a miniscule 12.9 points. His weather-related struggles were on full display in Week 14, as he was held to 161 yards and threw multiple interceptions in Chicago, where the game-time temperature was 36 degrees Fahrenheit. When indoors, Goff’s fantasy average jumps to 19.1, solidifying him as a top fantasy option. Although none of his three playoff opponents bring pushover QB matchups, all three games will be inside, away from the elements. His best shot at a strong performance is at home in Week 15, as he has averaged six more points in Detroit than on the road since being traded to the Lions. may be listed as a running back on the depth chart, but in fantasy, he might as well be a wide receiver, at least lately. Through the first seven games, just 31 percent of his fantasy points came through the air. But over the second half of the season, receiving has accounted for more than 80 percent of his fantasy production, forcing his managers to think outside the box when deciding their starts and sits. Incredibly, Hall is not on the list of 122 players with a goal-line carry this season (yes, you read that correctly), but he does have three straight games with eight or more targets. I don’t expect major changes to those trends in the fantasy playoffs, with matchup No. 1 coming against the Dolphins. Heading into Week 15, Miami was in the middle of the pack in rushing-generated fantasy points allowed to RBs but was ninth-toughest against the position in points allowed on receptions. Hall is going to be a risky start in the quarterfinals.