NFC South rivals are set to square off in NFL Week 4 when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) travel to take on the New Orleans Saints (2-1) on Sunday. Both teams are looking to rebound from Week 3 losses. The Bucs fell 25-11 to the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday night, while the Saints lost to the Green Bay Packers 18-17. New Orleans quarterback Derek Carr (shoulder) is listed as questionable.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at the Caesars Superdome. New Orleans is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Buccaneers vs. Saints odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before making any Saints vs. Buccaneers picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 167-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on an 21-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Saints vs. Bucs and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 4 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bucs vs. Saints
- Saints vs. Buccaneers spread: Saints -3.5
- Saints vs. Buccaneers over/under: 40 points
- Saints vs. Buccaneers money line: Saints -181, Buccaneers +154
- Saints vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Saints vs. Buccaneers live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Head coach Todd Bowles is one of the top defensive minds in the NFL and he has the Buccaneers playing well on that side of the ball. Tampa Bay is among the league leaders in creating turnovers, entering this matchup with seven takeaways (third most in the NFL). The Bucs allow 19.7 points and 380.3 total yards per game.
Veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield has been efficient, playing mostly mistake-free football through three weeks. The former No. 1 overall pick has completed 66.7% of his pass attempts for 636 yards, four touchdowns, and one interceptions. Mayfield’s top target has been Pro Bowl wide receiver Mike Evans, who has 17 catches for 297 yards and three TDs. See which team to pick here.
Why the Saints can cover
The Saints are getting a major boost with the return of All-Pro running back Alvin Kamara from suspension. The 28-year-old is one of the top all-purpose back in the NFL, and should help New Orleans improve its struggling rushing attack. Kamara enters this week with 8,888 career total offensive yards and 71 career touchdowns.
New Orleans also has the benefit of facing a Tampa Bay offense that has one of the least effective running games in the league. Entering Week 4, the Bucs are averaging just 78 rushing yards per game, while New Orleans has been strong against the rush, allowing 99.7 yards per game. See which team to pick here.
How to make Buccaneers vs. Saints picks
The model has simulated Saints vs. Buccaneers 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model’s Saints vs. Buccaneers pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Saints vs. Buccaneers on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Saints spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 167-117 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.