Will Israel-Hamas conflict impact assembly elections? | India News

The poll body has announced the schedule for Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana and Mizoram assembly elections.

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Polling for the states of Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, and Mizoram will be conducted on various dates between November 7 and 30. The voting process will commence with all 40 assembly seats in Mizoram and the first phase of 20 seats in Chhattisgarh on November 7.Subsequently, the remaining 70 seats in Chhattisgarh will be contested on November 17, coinciding with the polling for all 230 seats in Madhya Pradesh. Rajasthan’s 200 assembly seats will be up for voting on November 23, followed by the 119-member Telangana Assembly on November 30.

The culmination of this electoral exercise will be the counting of votes for all five states on December 3, chief election commissioner (CEC) Rajiv Kumar said at a press conference on Monday.

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This will be the last set of assembly elections ahead of the next year’s Lok Sabha polls.

The announcement of assembly poll dates comes amid intense fighting between Israeli security forces and Hamas militants in Israel’s border areas. On Monday, Israel’s military announced that its forces had gained “control of communities” in the southern region near Gaza, following a surprise attack by Hamas militants two days earlier.

Israel has not released an official toll but its media said at least 700 people were killed in Saturday’s attacks, children among them. Military spokesperson Daniel Hagari called it “the worst massacre of innocent civilians in Israel’s history.” Additionally, Palestinian militant groups have claimed to hold over 130 captives from the Israeli side.

“Carefully monitoring…” Hardeep Singh Puri on rising crude oil prices following Israel-Hamas war

But can the Israel-Hamas conflict impact assembly elections in India? The conflict has already upended oil economics and geopolitics.
Oil prices experienced a sharp increase following an unexpected attack by Hamas on Israel, introducing fresh instability to the Middle East. Since the conflict between Israel and the militant group Hamas escalated over the weekend, the death toll has surpassed 1,100. In response to the crisis, US futures surged by up to 5.4% in New York, briefly surpassing $87 a barrel.
Oil minister Hardeep Singh Puri on Monday said that India was closely monitoring the Israel-Hamas conflict.

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“India will approach this situation with maturity. The area where the conflict is unfolding holds significant importance in the global energy landscape. We will observe the developments closely,” Puri said during a press conference in New Delhi.
Puri further added, “We will navigate through this challenge. Such uncertainties only reinforce the need for transitioning to sustainable and cleaner fuel options.”
Increased oil prices often result in a rise in inflation and hinder growth in major importing countries such as India.
“The fallout in markets will likely be determined by whether conflict spreads to the rest of the Middle East region, with oil traders also shifting focus to Iran, which is both a major oil producer and supporter of Hamas,” Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail Research, HDFC securities, said.
It’s too early to draw definitive conclusions, and the outcome hinges on the evolving dynamics of the Israel-Hamas conflict. Whether it escalates to involve regional powers such as Saudi Arabia and Iran remains uncertain.
At present, the upcoming assembly elections seem to revolve around state-specific matters and the intricacies of Indian politics. However, an extended Israel-Hamas conflict coupled with elevated oil prices causing persistent inflation might introduce an additional variable into the electoral equation.
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